Mobile device battles:
Mobile experiences eclipse the desktop experience. Consumerization drives
tablets into the enterprise. Cloud and mobile are mutually reinforcing trends.
Bring your own device trend accelerates. In 2013, mobile devices will pass PCs
to be most common Web access tools. By 2015, over 80% of handsets in mature
markets will be smart phones. 20% of those will be Windows phones. By 2015,
tablet shipments will be 50% of laptop shipments, with Windows 8 in third place
behindApple and Android. Microsoft‘s share of
overall client platform will fall to 60%, and could drop below 50%. In
smartphones, Windows could pass RIM to be #3 player, and could be same size as
Apple in units by 2015. Windows 8 will be “relatively niche,” with mostly
appealing to enterprise buyers.
Mobile applications
& HTML 5: Through 2014, JavaScript performance will push HTML5 and the
browser as a mainstream application developer environment. There will be long
shift to HTML5 from native apps as HTML5 becomes more capable. But native apps
won’t disappear, and will always offer best experiences.
Personal Cloud:
Cloud will be center of digital lives, for apps, content and preferences. Sync
across devices. Services become more important; devices become less important.
Internet of Things:
Internet of things is already here. Over 50% of Internet connections are
things. In 2011, over 15 billion things on the Web, with 50 billion+
intermittent connections. By 2020, over 30 billion connected things, with over
200 billion with intermittent connections. Key technologies here include embedded
sensors, image recognition and NFC. By 2015, in more than 70% of enterprises, a
single exec will oversee all Internet connected things. Becomes the Internet of
Everything.
Hybrid IT and Cloud
Computing: Changes role of IT. IT departments must play more roles in
coordinating IT related activities.
Strategic Big Data: Organizations
need to focus on non-traditional data types and externa data sources. Hadoop
and NoSQL gain momentum. Big data will meet social. Five richest big data
sources on the Web include social graph, intent graph, consumption graph,
interest graph and mobile graph. Concept of single corporate data warehouse is
dead. Multiple systems need to be tied together.
Actionable Analytics:
Cloud, packaged analytics and big data accelerates in 2013, 2014. Can now
perform analytics and simulation on every action taken in business. Mobile
devices will have access to the data, supporting business decision making.
Mainstream In-Memory
Computing: Changes expectations, designs and architectures. Can boost
performance and response times. Enables real-time self service business
intelligence. SAP and others will accelerate delivery of applications in
2012/2013 to leverage in memory capability.
Integrated Ecosystems:
More packaging of software and services to address infrastructure or
application workload. There will be more shipment of “appliances,” with
software delivered as hardware. New trend: virtual appliances, which Gartner
sees gaining in popularity over the next five years.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericsavitz/2012/10/23/gartner-top-10-strategic-technology-trends-for-2013/
1 comment:
2013 is a big year for Microsoft. They've launched a new platform and new versions of major products. It will be do or die to see if they can continue to compete.
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